| Economics News Articles: January 2005 |
|
Welcome to the January 2005 edition of the economics news articles section. Happy New Year from us all. The time since the last set of news articles has, perhaps unusually, been a busy period. Speculation continues about when the next general election will be and the Conservatives and Liberals have even starting publishing their manifestos. Labour has launched a series of posters criticising Tory plans and emphasising their economic competence. Be prepared for a season of claim and counter-claim as the election campaign builds up, if indeed it is one! However, as economists, be prepared to look critically at the claims from each party. The Economist has started its analysis with a comment on the dangers of looking at statistics at face value, and this article may be worth a read to help you understand the way in which economic statistics will be used by all parties in their election campaigns. Boasters The Economist (13/1/05) The dispute between Gordon Brown and Tony Blair
has also continued to hit the headlines with the publication of new
'revelations'. Whilst perhaps not a topic you would normally expect
to see us cover in these articles, there is a useful piece of economic
theory that can help explain disputes of this nature. See the Evan Davis
report in News Item 4 for more detail. In another slight departure from
the norm we also consider an article from The Economist that
looks at how new brain research may help economics understand behaviour
and self-interest in more detail (News Item 2). Trade and development
have continued to be highly newsworthy with the publication of major
reports from both Unicef and the ILO (News Item 20). |
|
Andy Beharrell
|
| Contents |
1. More black gold in the North Sea?
2. Neuroeconomics
3. Direct flights cut business costs in Scotland
4. The theory of political games
5. I-Tunes - music anywhere at any price?
6. Super-rich have doubled their money under Labour
7. Liberalising Indian skies
8. European window closes for Microsoft
9. Are emissions trading targets too generous for Kyoto?
10. Adding value in the UK
11. Britain's trade - red is the colour
12. Economic freedom and growth
13. Fantastic plastic
14. A neutral interest rate for the US?
15. The pre-budget report
16. Tax - uniform is best?
17. The end of the Multi-Fibre Agreement
18. Trade dividends from globalisation
19. Who benefits from foreign direct investment?
20. Development - two steps forward, one step back?
News Item 1: More black gold in the North Sea?
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapters 1, 2 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Introduction |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 2 |
| Over the last year in these news items we have frequently looked at the issue of the oil price. The trend rise of the oil price has continued inexorably and one reason is the diminishing reserves of oil in the world. However, the extent to which reserves are running down continues to be a source of much debate among experts. Some experts believe that there are 50 billion barrels left unexploited in the North Sea alone. In the two articles below, we look at contrasting articles relating to North Sea Oil and the likely impact on Scotland of diminishing reserves in the North Sea. |
Big Atlantic oil find revealed BBC News Online (08/12/04)
UK oil flow to become a trickle BBC News Online (22/04/04)
| Questions | |
| 1. | What type of factor of production is oil classified as? |
| 2. | How is investment in the North Sea oil industry likely to be affected by changes in the oil price? |
| 3. | Assess the extent to which the price of oil is likely to be affected by major new discoveries of oil reserves. |
News Item 2: Neuroeconomics
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapters 1, 4 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 1 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 6 |
| Study of the brain is biology and study of human behaviour is in the realm of economics. That may be the conventional view, but the emergence of 'neuroeconomics' may change all that. New brain research may help economists understand better the motivation of people. It may help economists understand better the nature of 'rational behaviour'; a concept that underpins much economic theory. The article below from The Economist considers the impact this new work may have on economic theory. |
Mind games The Economist (13/01/05)
| Questions | |
| 1. | What is meant by 'rational behaviour'? How does the concept of 'rationality' affect our understanding of consumer behaviour? |
| 2. |
What is meant by 'expected value'? How do changes in the expected value of a commodity affect the demand for that commodity? |
| 3. | How might the experiments outlined in the article affect economist's understanding of 'utility'? |
News Item 3: Direct flights cut business costs in Scotland
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 5 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapters 2, 3 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 9 |
| The growth in direct flights to overseas from Scotland is expected to save Scottish businesses millions of pounds in the future. Research carried out for Scottish Enterprise has identified extensive savings when flights travel direct rather than through a hub like Heathrow. The flights are also expected to benefit the tourist industry in Scotland. |
Direct flights give firms a lift BBC News Online (4/1/05)
Middle Eastern influx sheiks up city tourism The Scotsman (3/1/05)
| Questions | |
| 1. | Would you classify travel costs as fixed or variable costs for a business? |
| 2. | What impact are the cheaper flights likely to have on the equilibrium level of output for Scottish firms? |
| 3. | Assess the impact that the direct flights are likely to have (a) on the Scottish economy and (b) on the UK balance of payments. |
News Item 4: The theory of political games
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 7 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 4 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 12 |
| Gordon Brown and Tony Blair have, according to the political press, irreconcilable differences. Each new month has seen new revelations, many of them in books published by people close to the main protagonists. So why are these differences not kept private and why does there seem to be an escalation of the dispute. This may not be a topic that we normally cover in these news item, but there is a useful piece of economic theory that helps explain this behaviour: game theory and the prisoner's dilemma. In the brief report linked below, Evan Davis, the BBC's economics correspondent considers how game theory can help explain this and other disputes. You will need the Real Player free plugin to be able to hear the report. This is available as a free download from the Real.com web site. |
Gordon Brown and Tony Blair BBC Today Programme (10/1/05)
| Questions | |
| 1. | What is meant by the 'prisoner's dilemma'? |
| 2. | How does game theory help explain the behaviour of firms in an oligopolistic market. |
| 3. | In the light of the 'prisoner's dilemma', assess the effectiveness of possible ways to de-escalate the dispute between Gordon Brown and Tony Blair. |
News Item 5: iTunes - music anywhere and at any price?
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 7 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 4 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 12, 17 |
| So you got your brand new iPod for christmas and you log on to the iTunes web site to download some tracks. So far, so good, but did you know that the iTunes sites in France and Germany offer downloads for around 20% less? As a UK customer you are barred from using these sites. Is this fair competition? Well the Office of Fair Trading (OFT) doesn't think so and has reported the iTunes service to the European Commission to investigate whether there is price discrimination taking place. |
Brussels chews over Apple's pricing policy Guardian (4/12/04)
EC to probe music download 'rip off' claim The Scotsman (3/12/04)
Apple iTunes 'overcharging in UK' BBC News Online (3/12/04)
| Questions | |
| 1. | What conditions have to exist for price discrimination to be effective for a firm? |
| 2. | Describe the role of the Office of Fair Trading (OFT) in maintaining competitive markets in the UK. |
| 3. | What powers does the EU have to prevent this type of price discrimination from taking place? |
News Item 6: Super-rich have doubled their money under labour
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 9 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 5 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 18 |
| New figures released by the Office of National Statistics (ONS) reveal that the wealth of the 'super-rich' in the UK has doubled since the Labour Party came to power in 1979. The wealthiest 1% of individuals owned 23% of national wealth in 2004, up from 20% when Labour first came to power. The articles below consider what the figures show and the impact this may have have on social inequality. |
Super-rich have doubled their money under Labour Guardian (8/12/04)
Wealth gap wider under Labour Scotsman (7/12/04)
Net worth grows as Britain's rich get even richer Scotsman (8/12/04)
| Questions | |
| 1. | Explain the difference between income and wealth. |
| 2. | What impact is this wider wealth gap likely to have on the economy? |
| 3. | What policies are available to the government if they wanted to close this wealth gap? Assess the likely success of each policy. |
News Item 7: Liberalising Indian skies
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapters 11, 12 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 6 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 20, 21 |
| Indian Airlines has not bought any new planes since 1988 and Air India has not bought any since 1991. The Indian aviation market is one of the most bureaucratic and tightly controlled in the world and it has long been very difficult for foreign operators to fly in and out of the country. However, Praful Patel, the new civil aviation minister hopes to change all this. Plans are in hand to buy $5bn worth of new aircraft and this will be part-funded by the sale of equity (part-privatisation) in the two Indian airlines. He also plans to liberalise the skies and allow foreign operators more access to the Indian market. |
More passages to India The Economist (2/12/04)
| Questions | |
| 1. | Assess the advantages and disadvantages for the two main Indian airlines of liberalisation of the Indian aviation industry. |
| 2. | Examine the benefits that might arise for the Indian economy of the liberalisation of the aviation industry. |
| 3. | What problems might be encountered if the new policies result in a large number of foreign operators entering the market? |
News Item 8: European window closes for Microsoft
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 12 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 6 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 21 |
| In March 2004 the European Commission found Microsoft guilty of abusing its dominant position in the software market and ordered them to 'unbundle' the Windows Media Player from the Windows software. Hardly surprisingly Microsoft appealed against the decision. However, they had argued that while the appeal was taking place, they should not need to start the 'unbundling' process. On December 22nd 2004 the European Court of First Instance disagreed. They argued that Microsoft must start to change its practices even while the appeal was being prepared and heard. |
Unbundled The Economist (29/12/04)
EU upholds Microsoft anti-trust ruling Guardian (23/12/04)
Special report: Microsoft Guardian
Microsoft decision may not please consumers International Herald Tribune (23/12/04)
Microsoft fails in court bid to delay 'Windows lite' ruling Scotsman (23/12/04)
| Questions | |
| 1. | Do a web search to find the reasons why the European Commission originally found Microsoft guilty of abusing its position. Write a short explanation. |
| 2. | Assess the benefits and costs for consumers of this decision to force Microsoft to unbundle its products and make some of its code available to rival software companies and developers. |
| 3. | Research on the web to find the difference between the responsibilities of the UK Competition Commission and the European Commission competition directorate. |
News Item 9: Are emissions trading targets too generous for Kyoto?
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 12 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 6 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 22 |
| The first market-based plan for cutting greenhouse gas emissions came into effect on January 1st 2005 when the European Union introduced the carbon dioxide emissions trading scheme (ETS). The first trade took place just a few days later, but the scheme has already faced a storm of protests and threatened legal action. Environmentalists have argued that the new scheme is too generous and will not enable the EU to reach the required cuts in emissions under the Kyoto treaty. On the other side the UK government has threatened legal action if a new plan for energy-intensive sectors is not agreed. The innovative new scheme seems likely to face delays in its full implementation as a result. |
UK carbon output revision threatens trading scheme Guardian (10/01/05)
CO2 trading targets too generous say environmentalists Guardian (5/01/05)
Q&A: The Kyoto Protocol BBC News Online (30/09/04)
How green are UK carbon trading plans? BBC News Online (6/12/04)
| Questions | |
| 1. | Explain what is meant by a 'tradable permits' scheme. How does it help to reduce pollution levels? |
| 2. | Assess the advantages and disadvantages of the European carbon trading scheme for UK firms. |
| 3. | Compare and contrast the use of a market-based 'tradable permits' scheme for reducing pollution with the use of rules and regulations. |
| 4. | Why is pollution considered a market failure by economists? |
News Item 10: Adding value in the UK
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 13 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 7 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 26 |
| The average person in the UK contributes £15,300 to the economy according to new Gross Value Added (GVA) figures released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). However, this disguises significant local differences with the average west Londoner being eight times more productive than the average person on Anglesey. Gross Value Added is a similar measure to GDP and shows the total value of goods produced by an individual. There are links below to a number of articles related to the statistics, but there is also a link to a spreadsheet containing all the regional data and a link to a pdf version of the report from the ONS. |
Bustling London outworks Wales BBC News Online (22/12/04)
Productive year as Capital takes place in UK top five The Scotsman (23/12/04)
Regional GVA National Statistics press release (22/12/04)
Local GVA National Statistics press release (22/12/04)
GVA regional data (Excel file) National Statistics
Regional GVA report (pdf file) National Statistics
| Questions | |
| 1. | Explain what is meant by (a) GVA (b) regional GVA and (c) local GVA. |
| 2. | How does GVA differ from GDP? |
| 3. | Explain how GDP and GVA are measured in the UK. |
News Item 11: Britain's trade - red is the colour
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 15 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 12 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 27 |
| When it comes to the recent performance of UK trade, red is definitely the only colour. UK trade performance is an issue we have considered in these news items many times before, but we return to it as an issue at the start of 2005 with the announcement that the trade deficit worsened considerably in the third quarter of 2004. The UK trade deficit widened to £5.3bn in October 2004, a marked increase from the deficit of £4.4bn in September. |
UK trade deficit grows Guardian (9/12/04)
UK imports at record monthly high BBC News Online (9/12/04)
UK trade deficit widens Scotsman (9/12/04)
UK trade gap rises to a high of £5.3bn Scotsman (9/12/04)
Trade gap misery as imports rise to £21.5bn Guardian (9/12/04)
| Questions | |
| 1. | What were the principal reasons for the deterioration in the UK's trade performance in the third quarter of 2004? |
| 2. | Assess the impact that the poor trade performance is likely to have on (a) the exchange rate (b) UK competitiveness and (c) short-term economic growth. |
| 3. | Examine the policies available to the government to reduce this deficit. Assess the impact that each policy is likely to have on the economy in (a) the short term and (b) the long term. |
News Item 12: Economic freedom and growth
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapters 16, 17 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapters 7, 8 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 29, 30, 31 |
| Every year the Heritage Foundation produces an Index of Economic Freedom. The index considers 50 different variables under various headings including trade policy, monetary policy, fiscal burden, property rights, regulation and informal market activity. Each country is ranked on each variable and then an overall index produced that is intended to represent the degree of economic freedom in that country. Economists have long argued over the importance of economic freedom and neo-classical economists argue that the greater the degree of economic freedom, the higher the level of economic growth will be. The index of economic freedom allows for empirical analysis of this assertion and there is a link below to a chart showing economic freedom against GDP. In 2005 the USA dropped out of the top 10, while the UK was 7th. The full data from the index and the full text of the 'Index of Economic Freedom' book are also available from links below. |
New Zealand ranked in top 10 'economically free' countries NZ Herald (5/1/05)
US drops on economic index Washington Times (5/1/05)
Index of Economic Freedom Heritage Foundation web site
Economic freedom and per capita income Heritage Foundation web site
Index of Economic Freedom - book and data download Heritage Foundation web site
| Questions | |
| 1. | Critically assess the assertion that a greater level of economic freedom is likely to lead to higher level of GDP. |
| 2. | List the variables measured as part of the Index of Economic Freedom and beside each variable note down a policy that would help improve the economic freedom score for that variable. |
| 3. | Examine the economic problems that may arise from policies that lead to a greater degree of economic freedom. |
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 18 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 9 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 28 |
| At 10.38am on Wednesday 29th December, schoolteacher, Helen Carroll paid for her groceries at a Tesco store in Portsmouth. Not a remarkable event in itself perhaps, but with this transaction spending on credit and debit cards finally overtook spending with cash for the first time ever. |
Cash gives way to flexible friend BBC News Online (29/12/04)
Cash is no longer king as cards flex their muscle Scotsman (29/12/04)
| Questions | |
| 1. | What are the main functions of money? |
| 2. | Assess how effectively cash and accounts accessed by debit cards fulfil these functions of money. |
News Item 14: A neutral interest rate for the US?
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapters 18, 20 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 9 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 28 |
| On December 14th the US Federal Reserve raised short-term interest rates to 2.25%. This rate is still low by historical standards and the 'real' rate of interest (the rate of interest after inflation has been taken into account) is still only just positive and will, according to some forecasts of inflation, become negative in the next few months. This means that interest rates are still relatively low and so most commentators expect them to rise further. The article from The Economist below describes this as a move towards a 'neutral interest rate'. So what is a neutral interest and what is the likely value of the neutral interest rate in the USA? |
| Questions | |
| 1. | What is meant by a 'neutral interest rate'? |
| 2. | Assess how useful the concept of a 'neutral interest rate' is in considering equilibrium in the money market. |
| 3. | Why is it thought likely that US interest rates will rise in the future? What is the likely impact of a rate rise on the US economy? |
News Item 15: The pre-budget report
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 20 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 8 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 30 |
| Each year in December the Chancellor of the Exchequer delivers his pre-budget report. Observers were watching closely this year to see the extent to which the Chancellor's forecasts would be adjusted. With borrowing increasing, the Chancellor faces a difficult position. Tax rises were off the agenda in an election year and he had already announced widespread Civil Service job cuts, so he had little room to manouvre. However, he remains in danger of breaching his own 'Golden Rule'. |
It's a little soon for gloating Guardian (03/12/04)
Brown defies the prophets of gloom Guardian (03/12/04)
The Chancellor's treble chance Scotsman(03/12/04)
Labour's next bid Guardian (03/12/04)
UK upbeat despite signs of slowdown International Herald Tribune (03/12/04)
No respect for red or golden rules as Chancellor turns all pink and perky Scotsman (03/12/04)
Sums do not add up says City Guardian (03/12/04)
Brown has no room for giveaways BBC News Online (03/12/04)You may also find the following more general web sites about the pre-budget report useful:
Pre-Budget Report special 2004 BBC News Online
Special report: Pre-Budget Report Guardian
HM Treasury - Pre-Budget Report HM Treasury web site
| Questions | |
| 1. | Summarise the main proposals set out in the pre-Budget Report. |
| 2. | What is meant by the 'Golden Rule'? Why is keeping to the Golden Rule important for (a) the Chancellor and (b) the economy? |
| 3. | How has the fiscal stance of this government changed in recent years? |
| 4. | Describe the changes that take place in the public finance position as economic growth rises and falls. |
News Item 16: Tax - uniform is best?
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 20 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 8 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 30 |
| The centrist government in Romania have opted for a flat-rate tax as a key component of their economic policy framework. The same system has been adopted by many other former Eastern bloc economies. Some think-tanks have even proposed flat-rate taxes for European economies as a way to promote growth and reduce tax evasion. |
| Questions | |
| 1. | What are the main characteristics of (a) flat-rate taxes (b) progressive taxes and (c) regressive taxes? |
| 2. | Assess the costs and benefits of a flat-rate tax for the people of Romania. |
| 3. | What would be the advantages and disadvantages of the imposition of a flat-rate income tax in the UK for (a) tax payers and (b) the government? |
| 4. | Discuss whether economic differences between the UK and Romania (and other East European countries) mean that a flat-rate tax would be economically more efficient in Romania than the UK. |
News Item 17: The end of the Multi-Fibre Agreement
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 23 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 11 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 24 |
| A long-standing system of quotas for trade in textiles called the Multi-Fibre Agreement came to an end on December 31 2004. Many less developed countries are very concerned about the impact that this may have on their textiles industry, with some openly expressing the concern that Chinese firms may over-run their markets. The Chinese in response have placed tariffs on textile exports from China and this may have helped prevent a damaging trade dispute with the the USA and Europe. |
Millions 'to lose textiles jobs' BBC News Online (16/12/04)
China to place duties on textiles BBC News Online (13/12/04)
Cambodia braces for textiles shake-up BBC News Online (22/12/04)
Unquotable The Economist (28/12/04)
New look for global clothing industry BBC News Online (30/12/04)
| Questions | |
| 1. | How did the Multi-Fibre Agreement benefit less developed countries? |
| 2. | Assess the changes that are likely to be seen in the global textiles industry as a result of the ending of the Multi-Fibre Agreement. |
| 3. | Why is the US administration contemplating placing tariffs on textile imports? What impact is this likely to have if it decides on this course of action? |
News Item 18: Trade dividends from globalisation
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 24 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 12 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 23 |
| Many Americans remain concerned about trade liberalisation and there have often been moves to greater protectionism as opposed to openness in trade. The USA has also seen very negative reaction to the process of 'offshoring' (see Nov/Dec articles for more detail on this). However, a new study has shown the America benefits significantly from greater trade and openness. Though it can be very difficult to separate the impact of trade from other micro and macroeconomic factors, the study concludes that trade accounted for 20% of the gain in America's GDP per person between 1950 and 2003 |
| Questions | |
| 1. | Assess the factors that lead to a country like the USA becoming more protectionist in outlook. |
| 2. | Explain how greater openness in trade can benefit an economy. |
| 3. | Critically examine the conclusions of the study given in the article and consider possible areas where the conclusions may have been flawed. |
News Item 19: Who benefits from foreign direct investment?
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapters 25, 26 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapters 11, 12 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 23 |
| The prestigious Mozal aluminium smelting plant in Mozambique has attracted envious glances from many neighbouring countries. The new plant is the size of 340 football pitches and produces 500,000 tonnes of aluminium each year. The project has cost in excess of $2bn and the outgoing President has attributed much of the economic growth of Mozambique to inward investment. As with many issues though, the real picture may not be quite that clear. Who does foreign direct investment benefit? The local economy? The national economy? The government? The firm investing? |
| Questions | |
| 1. | What is meant by the 'trickle-down effect'? What benefits are thought to result for Mozambique from the trickle-down effect? |
| 2. | Critically assess the extent to which a large-scale investment like Mozal will benefit the economy (a) in the short term and (b) in the long term. |
| 3. | What policies could be adopted to ensure that foreign direct investment was beneficial for the local economy? |
News Item 20: Development - two steps forward, one step back?
| Relevant to: |
| Economics (5th edition) Chapter 26 |
| Essentials of Economics (3rd edition) Chapter 12 |
| Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 24, 25 |
| The economic impact of the tsunami on some of the poorest countries in the world has brought home for many how far we still have to go to promote economic development. Two reports in recent months have further brought this home. A report from Unicef has shown that one billion children around the world are effectively denied a childhood because of the impact of poverty. A separate report from the International Labour Organisation (ILO) has shown that over half the workers in the world are existing on less than $2 per day. Below are links to a number of articles related to these reports as well as the reports themselves where possible. |
Unicef report:
One billion 'denied a childhood' BBC News Online (9/12/04)
The State of the World's Children 2005 Unicef ReportILO report:
Half of all workers on $2 per day or less Guardian (8/12/04)
ILO press release International Labour Organisation (7/12/04)
World Employment Report International Labour Organisation (14/1/04)
| Questions | |
| 1. | Critically evaluate three policies that the UK government could adopt to improve the lives of the poorest children around the world. |
| 2. | Critically evaluate three policies that the UK government could adopt to help promote fairer employment around the world.. |