Economics News Articles: November/December 2006

 

Welcome to this combined November/December news file. This month, in what is perhaps a slight departure from usual, we focus heavily on one particular topic. The end of October saw the publication of the Stern report on climate change. This was perhaps one of the most significant and authoritative reports ever on the economic impact on climate change and so in News Items 7-12 we consider the various issues raised by this report and possible policy responses. Another highly significant event this month was the death of Milton Friedman - arguably one of the greatest economists of the 20th century. In news Item 13 we consider the life, work and legacy of Milton Friedman.

Prices also seem to have been a hot topic this month and in News Items 2-4 we look at various price rises that may affect us; gold, bread and orange juice. We also consider exchange rate changes in News Items 18 and 19. The slide in the dollar continues apace and the Chinese have announced that their foreign exchange reserves have reached $1 trillion. We consider the impact this may have on the rest of the world and the pattern of Chinese trade. We hope, as ever, that you find the articles and questions helpful and wish you the very best for the holiday period. The next News File will be in January 2007.

Andy Beharrell

 Contents 
1.  OECD raps increased Russian state control
2.  Squeezing a higher price for orange juice
3.  A golden opportunity
4.  Bread price hit by high wheat prices
5.  MEPs open the services market to the chill winds of competition
6.  Sweeping reforms in the chimney sweep market
7.  Climate change - how much will it cost us?
8.  A Stern warning on climate change
9.  Climate change - cooling it down again
10. Carbon - a market set to come alight?
11. Road pricing - a decongestant for the roads?
12. Pigou or NoPigou? Are taxes the answer to climate change?
13. Milton Friedman - a giant in economic circles
14. The rise of UK interest rates
15. Elgar or Adam Smith - whose face has the most value?
16. The North and South of the UK - closing the gap
17. Vietnam joins the world trade club
18. Another day, another fall in the dollar
19. China sets out foreign exchange market changes

News Item 1: OECD raps increased Russian state control


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapters 1, 12, 22
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 1
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 1, 2, 31
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapters 1, 8
 
The latest survey of the Russian Federation from the OECD has argued that the increasing state ownership of companies and national resources may hinder the future growth of the Russian economy. Current economic growth is running at nearly 7%, but the OECD argues that this may slow if the pace of nationalisation increases.
OECD raps Russian state control BBC News Online (27/11/06)
Economic survey of the Russian Federation OECD web site
Economic survey of the Russian Federation OECD web site (Executive summary)
Questions
1. Compare and contrast a planned and market economy.
2. What are the advantages and disadvantages to the Russian economy of nationalising companies?
3. Have a look at Chapter 3 of the OECD economic survey. What are the key issues that the Russian government needs to address in terms of public administration? What impact are these changes likely to have on Russian economic growth?

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News Item 2: Squeezing a higher price for orange juice


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 2
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapters 1, 2
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 4, 5
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 2
 
Charley and Wilma (referred to in the article below) have had a major impact on the Florida orange growing industry. However, they are not individual farmers, but hurricanes. These hurricanes together with an outbreak of citrus canker disease have decimated the Florida orange juice crop and this has led to the price of orange juice hitting a 16 year high.
Charley and Wilma blamed for spiking orange juice Guardian (17/11/06)
Questions
1. Using supply and demand analysis, illustrate the price changes identified in the articles.
2. Assess the factors that have led to the price changes for orange juice identified in the article.
3. Discuss the likely change in demand for orange juice as a result of the price rise.
4. What is the likely approximate value of the cross elasticity of demand for orange juice with respect to other fruit juices?

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News Item 3: A golden opportunity


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 2
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapters 1, 2
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 4, 5
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapters 2, 3
 
The price of gold has been quietly moving upwards on world markets and at the end of November stood at nearly $640 per ounce - nearly $40 higher than at the start of the month. So what factors have been driving the gold price upwards?
Gold find resistance at $640 per ounce Business Day (30/11/06)
Questions
1. Use supply and demand analysis to illustrate the changes in the price of gold.
2. Discuss the underlying factors that may be leading to increased demand for gold.
3. Analyse possible changes in world markets that may lead to the price of gold falling in the future.

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News Item 4: Bread price hit by high wheat prices


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapters 2, 5, 7
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapters 1, 2, 3, 4
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 4, 5, 9
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapters 2, 4
 
Wheat prices on world markets have been hit by a range of factors including the drought in Australia and this has led to an increase in costs of production for firms using wheat as a raw material. The main impact is likely to be on bread prices, though other related products are also likely to see price rises.
Bread to rise on high flour price BBC News Online (10/11/06)
Hovis to demand more dough for bread Times Online (1/11/06)
Questions
1. Using supply and demand analysis, show the reasons why bread prices are rising.
2. Using diagrams as appropriate, assess the likely impact of rising wheat prices on the equilibrium price and level of output of bread.
3. Discuss the extent to which bakers will be able to pass on to consumers the rising costs of production.

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News Item 5: MEPs open the services market to the chill winds of competition


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapters 12, 23
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapters 6, 11
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 21, 25
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapters 8, 11
 
The free movement of goods and services throughout the EU is a fundamental tenet of the European common market. In a directive that is being seen as one of the most important for many years, MEPs have backed the 'Services Directive', passing it into law. This will ensure that services including plumbing, architecture and catering can trade more freely within the EU. The move had initially been blocked by some countries afraid that their services providers would be undercut by those with cheaper labour costs. However, these objections have now been overcome with the passing into law of this directive.
MEPs vote to open services market BBC News Online (15/11/06)
Questions
1. Compare and contrast the terms (a) common market (b) customs union and (c) free trade area.
2. Analyse the importance of the Services Directive for the development of a free market within the European Union.
3. Discuss the impact that the Services Directive is likely to have on the price of architecture services.

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News Item 6: Sweeping reforms in the chimney sweep market


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 21
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 8
 
Chimney sweeps in Germany enjoy a near-perfect monopoly, a situation that is not approved of in Brussels. So the European Commission has revived proceedings against the law that protects them from competition and is aiming to force the German government to introduce competition in the market for chimney sweeps.
Chimney sweeps under fire The Economist (19/10/06)
Questions
1. Explain why the German government allows chimney sweeps to maintain a 'state-sponsored' monopoly.
2. Discuss the impact on the German market for chimney sweeps if the European Commission is successful in having the law repealed.
3. Examine the role of the key institutions responsible for the management of competition law in Europe.

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News Item 7: Climate change - how much will it cost us?


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 22
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 8
 
The publication of the Stern report on climate change (see News Item 8) has led to a spate of media articles on climate change and the impact that climate change is likely to have. In the next six news items we look at the various issues that have arisen as a result of the Stern report and the conclusions that it came to. In this News Item we start by looking at the possible cost of climate change and the views of companies and individuals about the impact of climate change. The two articles below give a views of different areas of this debate. The first focuses on the economic cost of climate change while the second looks at the opinions of businesses about climate change.
Cost of saving the planet: a year's growth Guardian (29/9/06)
Poll delivers blow to government's climate change policy Guardian (13/11/06)
Questions
1. Examine the economic costs that are likely to result from climate change.
2. Analyse the likely success of the "green-growth strategy" proposed in the Price Waterhouse Coopers report.
3. Explain why the energy experts polled (see "Poll delivers blow .... " article above) do not believe that the government's approach is correct.

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News Item 8: A Stern warning on climate change


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 22
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 8
 
Sir Nicholas Stern, a former Chief Economist of the World Bank, was commissioned by the UK government to prepare a report focusing on the economic impact of climate change. The report was finally published at the end of October 2006 and the conclusions drawn were stark. Climate change was seen as a vitally important economic issue and the government had to act immediately if they were to counter the impact. A range of articles considering the report are linked to below but a search on any media search engine (e.g. Google news) will yield many more showing the importance attributed to the publication of the report.

Climate costs: the next generation BBC News Online (30/10/06)
At a glance: The Stern Review BBC News Online (30/10/06)
Summary of the Stern Review BBC News Online (pdf file) (30/10/06)
Sir Nicholas Stern's presentation BBC News Online (pdf file) (30/10/06)
Climate change fight 'can't wait' BBC News Online (31/10/06)
Report's stark warning on climate BBC News Online (29/10/06)
Simple verdict after a complex inquiry: time is running out Guardian (31/10/06)
Stern warning Guardian (31/10/06)

Questions
1. Summarise the main conclusions of the Stern Review on climate change.
2. What policies does Sir Nicholas suggest for minimising the impact of climate change? Choose one of these policies and assess its likely success if implemented.
3.

"... action now will cost a mere 1% of global GDP by 2050, whereas business as usual could cost up to 20%." Explain, in terms of private and external costs, what Sir Nicholas Stern means by this assertion.

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News Item 9: Climate change - cooling it down again


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 22
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 8
 
Given the conclusion of the Stern Review on climate change (see News Item 8), what can we do to try to arrest climate change. In the two articles below a range of policies are considered and in the next three News Items we go on to look at three of these in more depth. The issue, as William Keegan puts it in the first article below, is to bring microeconomic policies into the macroeconomic environment. As a lecturer in microeconomic policy at the London School of Economics early in his career, Sir Nicholas was well placed to consider these issues.
The approaching storm Guardian (31/10/06)
Drastic action on climate change is needed now - and here's the plan Guardian (31/10/06)
Questions
1. Define the terms (a) externalities (b) external costs and benefits and (c) private costs and benefits.
2. Using diagrams as appropriate, illustrate the likely impact of climate change on the socially optimal equilibrium in a market.
3. Choose two of the policies suggested by George Monbiot in his article and discuss their likely success if implemented.

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News Item 10: Carbon - a market set to come alight?


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 22
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 8
 
One solution proposed by environmentalists to climate change and the associated problems is creating a market in carbon. This has been done to an extent with the creation of the European Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS), but many propose the creation of carbon quotas for consumers (see News Item 9 - "Drastic action on climate change is needed now - and here's the plan" by George Monbiot) and a full carbon market. The Stern Review has lent further impetus to this suggestion. So would carbon trading work as a policy? Indeed is it working now? The articles linked to below give some contrasting viewpoints on this issue.
Putting a price on carbon: the key to securing global stability Guardian (31/10/06)
Stern vision 'needs new targets' BBC News Online (8/11/06)
'Obscenity' of carbon trading BBC News Online (9/11/06)
Trading spaces in the sky Guardian (15/11/06)
Questions
1. Explain how the European Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) is intended to reduce emissions of CO2.
2. Assess the extent to which the European ETS has succeeded in meeting its objectives.
3. Discuss the viability of using personal domestic carbon quotas as a policy to help meeting emissions targets.
4. According to the Stern Review ".... the second ingredient necessary to tackle climate change [i]s a range of policies to support the development of low-carbon and high-efficiency technologies." Suggest two policies that would help achieve this and assess their likely success.

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News Item 11: Road pricing - a decongestant for the roads?


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 22
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 8
 
One environmental policy that has had a limited airing, except in London, is road pricing. This is perhaps on the cards for the future for many cities, but as yet, the only city with the political nerve to do it has been London under the leadership of Mayor Ken Livingstone. Not content with the standard congestion charge, Ken Livingstone has now proposed the expansion of the congestion charge area to the west of London along with a £25 super-charge for the highest polluting vehicles. So is road pricing the answer to our environmental woes?
End of the road: 4x4s targeted by £25 congestion super-charge Guardian (15/11/05)
The roads bill Guardian (15/11/05)
Questions
1. With the use of a diagram, consider whether a congestion charge can lead to the optimal level of road use.
2. The money raised from the congestion charge in London has been used to improve public transport services. Discuss the possible problems with this approach to transport policy.
3. Examine policies that could be used to increase the level of demand for public transport.

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News Item 12: Pigou or NoPigou? Are taxes the answer to climate change?


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 22
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 8
 
Arthur Pigou, an early 20th Century British economist, proposed taxation as a way to combat negative externalities and his ideas have been revived by Greg Mankiw - an economist at Harvard University and former adviser to George Bush. Mankiw has been proposing $1 per gallon taxes on fuel as a means of helping to reduce global warming. Many people have argued also that aviation should be brought into the fuel tax net, but the airlines and the USA have fought this robustly. Indeed Michael O'Leary, the Chief Executive of Ryanair, the budget airline, branded talk of taxes on aviation as the "usual horseshit" and said that "There is a fundamental misunderstanding about aviation and environmental taxes at the moment. No one knows what they are talking about." So who is right? Will green taxes be the answer to combating climate change?
Pigou or NoPigou? The Economist (9/11/06)
Green tax take 'lower than 1997' BBC News Online (2/11/06)
O'Leary rounds on air travel critics Guardian (1/11/06)
Questions
1. Using diagrams as appropriate, illustrate how petrol taxes can be used as a tool in the fight against climate change.
2. Assess the advantages and disadvantages of using petrol taxes as the principal method of managing the level of demand for transport to reduce the level of emissions of CO2.
3. Discuss the view expressed by Michael O'Leary that aviation accounts for a tiny proportion of emissions and is therefore irrelevant to climate change policy.

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News Item 13: Milton Friedman - a giant in economic circles


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapters 15, 17, 19, 20, 22
    Essentials of Economics (4th edition) Chapters 8, 9, 10 (3rd edition) Chapters 9, 10
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 26, 28, 29, 30
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapters 9, 10
 
Milton Friedman is perhaps one of the best known and most influential economists of the 20th century and so we make no apologies about linking to a significant number of articles about his life, work and legacy below. The articles we have chosen below represent a small fraction of the tributes to him published in the media and, given his perceived status as the most influential monetarist economist, it may be worth browsing through some further articles. If you were to read just one article about the Keynesian - Monetarist debate that is at the core of much of the analysis in the media following Friedman's death, then we would recommend the final article linked to below in the Guardian by Larry Elliott (Bankers respect Friedman, but obey Keynes Guardian 20/11/06). We hope, though, that you will choose to browse around a number of the articles to find out more about the legacy of this remarkable giant of economics.

Economist Friedman dies aged 94 BBC News Online (16/11/06)
Milton Friedman: Free Market Thinker BBC News Online (16/11/06)
Milton Friedman, right or wrong? Guardian blog (18/11/06)
Milton Friedman: a study in failure Guardian blog (16/11/06)
Viewpoints: Remembering Milton Friedman International Herald Tribune (17/11/06)
The deflation of Friedman Guardian (18/11/06)
Milton Friedman, patron saint of free-market economics The Age (18/11/06)
Splitting the money Guardian blog (17/11/06)
Milton Friedman: Death of a giant Business Week (17/11/06)
Nobel economist Friedman dies at age of 94 Scotsman (17/11/06)
Friedman, free market champion, dies Times Online (17/11/06)
Milton Friedman, free market economist who won the Nobel Prize, dies at age 94 International Herald Tribune (16/11/06)
Economist Friedman dies aged 94 Times Online (16/11/06)
The money man who rewrote the rules Guardian (16/11/06)
Bankers respect Friedman, but obey Keynes Guardian (20/11/06)

Questions
1. Write a brief summary of the life and work of Milton Friedman.
2. Discuss the extent to which Friedman's policies are still applied in economic decision-making by governments and central banks around the world.
3. Assess the importance of Friedman's contribution to the monetarist-Keynesian debate in economics.

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News Item 14: The rise of UK interest rates


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapters 17, 19
    Essentials of Economics (4th edition) Chapters 8, 9, 10 (3rd edition) Chapters 9, 10
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 28, 29, 30
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 10
 
The November meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), the Bank of England committee responsible for setting UK interest rates, decided to increase interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point to 5%. The news was hardly a surprise to city analysts who had been widely expecting the move.

UK interest rates increased to 5% BBC News Online (9/11/06)
Q&A: The interest rate rise and you BBC News Online (9/11/06)
Inflation to reach 2% target earlier than expected Guardian (15/11/06)
Inflation report: What the economists say Guardian (15/11/06)
MPC's self-fulfilling prophecy Guardian (12/11/06)
Interest rates rise to 5% Guardian (9/11/06)
Less of a surprise than Rumsfeld's departure Guardian (9/11/06)

Questions
1. Explain the underlying economic factors that led to the increase in interest rates.
2. Analyse the problems that the MPC faces in targeting just the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) as the main measure of inflation.
3. Assess the likely impact of the interest rate rise on the various elements of aggregate demand.

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News Item 15: Elgar or Adam Smith - whose face has the most value?


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapters 17, 1
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapters 8, 1
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 28
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 9
 
The Bank of England is set to issue a new £20 note, but rather than Elgar, the new notes will feature the face of well-known economist Adam Smith. The news has led to a campaign being started by MPs from Hereford and Worcester, Elgar's birthplace, to keep Elgar on the £20 note. They have even tabled a motion to Parliament asking for his face to be kept on the notes for a little longer.

Smith replaces Elgar on £20 note BBC News Online (29/10/06)
Keep Elgar on £20 notes campaign BBC News Online (2/11/06)

Questions
1. Why do you think that the Bank of England has chosen Adam Smith for the new £20 note?
2. Outline the main contributions that Adam Smith made to the economic debate for free-market policies.
3. Analyse the importance of cash in a modern market economy.

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News Item 16: The North and South of the UK - closing the gap


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 22
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 11
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 31
 
A new report from the Work Foundation suggests that the economic divide between the North and South of the UK is closing. The links below look at articles related to this analysis and also the press release from the Work Foundation, the organisation that carried out the study.

UK's North-South divide 'closing' BBC News Online (13/11/06)
Regional economic divide may be closing Times Online (13/11/06)
Scottish economy moves up the growth rankings Scotsman (13/11/06)
Eurofighter keeps the North-West on target Guardian (13/11/06)
The Work Foundation - UK Competitiveness Index Work Foundation press release (13/11/06)

Questions
1. Analyse the evidence given in the Work Foundation competitiveness index to suggest that the North-South divide is closing.
2. Assess the extent to which government policies have contributed to a closing of the North-South divide.
3. Discuss whether an actively interventionist regional policy is required in a modern free-market economy.

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News Item 17: Vietnam joins the world trade club


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapter 23
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 11
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 24
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 11
 
On October 26th 2006 Vietnam became the 150th member of the World Trade Organisation (WTO). This will mean that they have to adopt the trade policies prescribed by the organisation and may involve liberalisation of a number of markets. It may also lead to them having to review a number of other policy areas and is likely to lead to world trade opportunities as well as challenges.

Marketmaker The Economist (2/11/06)
World trade body admits Vietnam BBC News Online (7/11/06)
Vietnam's WTO membership will cut both ways, bringing opportunities and challenges International Herald Tribune (6/11/06)
Vietnam WTO membership to cut both ways Business Week (6/11/06)
Vietnam prepares for post-WTO era People's Daily Online (6/11/06)

Questions
1. What is the role of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in the governance of world trade? You may find the WTO web site helpful in considering this.
2. Assess the impact that membership of the WTO is likely to have on the Vietnamese economy.
3. Use a suitable Internet search tool (e.g. Google news) to analyse the impact that recent actions of the WTO have had on the world trading system.

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News Item 18: Another day, another fall in the dollar


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapters 14, 24, 25
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 12
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 27
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 11
 
A weakening in growth and a vast current account deficit in the USA were eventually bound to have an impact on the value of the dollar. Sure enough the dollar has started to fall significantly and weaken on world markets. It even looks like a £1=$2 exchange rate is a possibility before the end of 2006. Tourists from the UK will be flocking to New York and elsewhere to do their Christmas shopping, but this may not be reciprocated from the USA!

Rebalancing act The Economist (30/11/06)
Another day, another fall in the dollar Guardian (29/11/06)

Questions
1. Using diagrams as appropriate, explain the underlying factors that are causing the dollar to weaken on world currency markets.
2. Analyse the likely impact of these exchange rate changes on the level of (a) UK imports and (b) UK exports.
3. Discuss the likely impact of the strong pound on the UK's major macroeconomic objectives.

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News Item 19: China sets out foreign exchange market changes


Relevant to:
    Economics (6th edition) Chapters 14, 24, 25
    Essentials of Economics (3rd and 4th edition) Chapter 12
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 27, 32
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition) Chapter 11
 
China's foreign currency reserves have been growing at around $18bn per month and in November finally topped a value of $1 trillion. This milestone has sparked concern with many countries about whether this may create global imbalances and instability on world markets. The USA has been putting China under pressure to revalue its currency in order to reduce its trade surplus.

China outlines economic controls BBC News Online (30/10/06)
China's trillion dollar surplus BBC News Online (2/11/06)
China reserves reach $1 trillion BBC News Online (6/11/06)
Chinese currency regulator denies reports reserves have topped US$1 trillion International Herald Tribune (6/11/06)
China's mountain of foreign currency soars above $1 trillion Times Online (7/11/06)
Chinese economists call for reserve diversification Taipei Times (6/11/06)
Who wants to be a trillionaire? The Economist (29/10/06)

Questions
1. Explain the underlying factors causing the increase in China's foreign exchange reserves.
2. Assess the impact that this rapid growth in foreign exchange reserves and current account surplus are likely to have on the global economy.
3. Analyse whether a revaluation of the Chinese currency, the yuan, would reduce the Chinese trade surplus.

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