Economics News Articles: April 2004

 
Welcome to the April set of news articles. Political news this month has been dominated by the government policy U-turn relating to the European Constitution. However, there has also been plenty of relevant economic news as well. At the start of the month the European Commission ordered Microsoft to pay a record 500m euro fine for abusing their dominant market position (see news item 5). Since then there have also been a number of news stories relating to development. Gordon Brown has been trying to galvanise other countries to double global aid to $100bn (news item 15), while the South Pacific island of Nauru, once one of the world's richest countries has moved close to bankruptcy (news item 12). Market failure and government policies to address it has once again been in the news with the surprise refusal of the proposed port development at Dibden Bay in Southampton. The following items also include plenty of other news stories that relate to your studies. As always, I hope you find them useful and enjoy reading them and answering the questions.
Andy Beharrell

Contents
1. Is the oil running out?
2. Bangladesh triples farm subsidies
3. The cold truth about the cost of ice cream
4. Pay restraint - is it possible?
5. Microsoft - shutting the window on anti-competitive practices
6. Port expansion - not plain sailing
7. Restructuring the rail industry - the death knell for the SRA?
8. Government attacked on quality of life
9. Global growth on the up
10. China fears boom and bust cycle
11. Sugar tariffs - not so sweet for developing countries
12. Pacific island - paradise postponed?
13. Eurozone stability pact - more countries to break it?
14. A remedy for financial turbulence
15. Brown pushes to double global aid
16. One third of Brazilians live on less than $1 per day

News Item 1: Is the oil running out?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapters 2, 12
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapters 1, 2
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapters 4, 5, 22
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 4, 5, 21
 
Oil is going to run out at some stage, but how soon is this and will it matter for the the global economy? Views differ on this and the article below looks at two opposing views and considers the likely impact of it.
Head-to-head: Oil concerns BBC News Online (21/4/04)
Questions
1. Using supply and demand analysis, illustrate the likely impact of oil gradually running out.
2. How will gradually rising oil prices affect firms and how are they likely to react in (a) the short term and (b) the long term?
3. What negative externalities (external costs) are generated from the use of oil and related products by developed countries?

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News Item 2: Bangladesh triples farm subsidies


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapters 3, 26
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapters 1, 2, 3, 12
    Economics for Business (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapter 9
 
Bangladesh is very heavily dependent on its agricultural sector with over 30% of national output generated by farming. With economic growth under threat and a diminishing amount of arable land available, the government are keen to boost efficiency in the agricultural sector. With this in mind they plan to triple farm subsidies. However, will this work? The two articles below look at the move to triple farm subsidies and the wider economic problems that they are facing.
Bangladesh triples farm subsidies BBC News Online (15/4/04)
Bangladesh growth under threat BBC News Online (19/4/04)
Questions
1. On a supply and demand diagram show the impact on agricultural markets of the tripling of farm subsidies. On the diagram show the area that represents the expenditure made by the government. 
2. How is the move to triple farm subsidies likely to affect relationships with other countries in the region?
3. Evaluate the likely impact of the extra farm subsidies on economic growth and consumer welfare.

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News Item 3: The cold truth about the cost of ice cream


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapter 5
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapter 3
    Economics for Business (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapter 9
 
Cost increases in the raw materials for ice cream are likely to result in ice cream prices in the US rising sharply this year. Record milk prices and price increases for vanilla and cocoa have pushed firm's costs up and they are likely to pass this on in higher prices.
Ice cream sellers feel the heat BBC News Online (20/4/04)
Questions
1. Classify the costs that are increasing into fixed costs or variable costs? How will a firm's cost curves be affected?
2. What would you expect the value for the price elasticity of demand for ice cream to be? Why?
3. To what extent is the value of the price elasticity of demand (identified in question 2) likely to limit the firm's ability to pass on the cost increases?
4. What can the ice cream firms to do limit the impact of these cost increases?

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News Item 4: Pay restraint - is it possible?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapter 9
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapter 5
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapter 17
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 18
 
This month has seen the Chancellor trying to encourage firms to ensure that there is restraint in the pay awards offered to employees. However, with directors' pay rising at 12 times the average rate, public-sector pay awards running ahead of private-sector pay awards and a skills shortage for various workers, will this be possible? All these factors contribute to a tight labour market, but the Chancellor is keen to ensure that inflationary pay awards don't adversely affect the level of inflation and damage growth prospects or competitiveness. The articles below look at the Chancellor's speech, skills shortages in construction and the rate of increase of directors' pay.
Britain's brickies build a fortune BBC News Online (22/4/04)
Brown urges 'restraint' on pay BBC News Online (21/4/04)
Chancellor warns against inflation-busting pay awards The Scotsman (20/4/04)
Business chiefs get the cream BBC News Online (13/4/04)
Corporate chiefs count the millions The Scotsman (14/4/04)
Directors' wages rise at 12 times inflation rate The Telegraph (14/4/04)
Questions
1. What government policies are available to try to reduce the level of skills shortages in markets like bricklaying or should it just be left to the market?
2. What economic impact are higher wage demands likely to have on the economy and why is the Chancellor intervening to try to prevent them?
3. Are the pay increases of directors the result of competitive forces (a point argued by many top managers)? In what ways could more competition be injected into the process?
4. Why may shareholders be reluctant to vote against the recommendations of the company's board of directors?

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News Item 5: Microsoft - shutting the window on anti-competitive practices


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapters 11, 12
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapters 4, 6
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapter 20
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 21
 
At the end of last month Microsoft was given a record fine of nearly 500 million euro by the European Commission for anti-competitive practices. It was also forced to allow greater competition and to release parts of the code for its software to its competitors to allow them to produce rival products. However, Microsoft will almost certainly appeal against the decision and the legal process is likely to drag on for many years yet and so Microsoft's cash surplus does not look under threat just yet! 
Microsoft and the superpower The International Herald Tribune (25/3/04)
Broad approval for Microsoft fine BBC News Online (25/3/04)
How Microsoft's fine would be spent  BBC News Online (25/3/04)
Windows cleaner   The Guardian (25/3/04)
Microsoft ordered to open up  The Guardian (25/3/04)
Fury in the US over Microsoft's EU slap  The Age (26/3/04)
Questions
1. What anti-competitive practices has Microsoft been using according to the EU?
2. Why is it necessary to intervene to prevent these anti-competitive practices?
3. What other policies could governments use to try to increase the level of competition in the market for computer software?

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News Item 6: Port expansion - not plain sailing


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapter 21
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 22
 
The port operator ABP has been arguing for many years that a new super-port was required for the UK in Southampton. However, the site they identified (Dibden Bay) was environmentally sensitive and the application was opposed at a public enquiry by a number of environmental and leisure groups who argued that it would cause significant environmental costs. The public enquiry has agreed with these concerns and blocked the development from going ahead. This surprise result led to a significant fall in the shares of ABP - the port operator.
New port rejected to save birds The Guardian (21/4/04)
ABP shares plunge The Scotsman (21/4/04)
Port expansion blocked by 'environment difficulties' The Scotsman (21/4/04)
Government rejects Dibden Bay port plans Friends of the Earth (20/4/04)
Campaigners win super-port fight BBC News Online (20/4/04)
Questions
1. What external costs (negative externalities) did the public enquiry about Dibden Bay identify? 
2. How does a divergence between private and social costs affect the allocation of resources in a market?
3. What other policies are available to a government to reduce the externalities arising from economic development? 

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News Item 7: Restructuring the rail industry - death knell for the SRA?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapters 4, 6
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapter 21
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 22
 
Only three years after it was formed to oversee the rail industry, the Strategic Rail Authority (SRA) is arguing to the government that it should be merged with the Office of the Rail Regulator (ORR) to form a single Railways Agency to oversee all the operations of the rail industry. They argue that this will make regulation of the rail industry much more efficient and reduce costs significantly. However, the train companies do not like the plan and feel that it may threaten their activities.
Rail body wants to reform itself out of existence The Guardian (20/4/04)
New-look railway plan under attack The Scotsman (19/04/04)
Bowker raises white flag The Guardian (20/4/04)
Train companies rattled by rail overhaul proposals Telegraph (20/4/04)
Questions
1. Why is regulation of the rail industry necessary and to what extent would a new 'super-regulator' help with this?
2. The train operating companies are arguing against centralisation of fares and ticketing services. Evaluate the arguments for and against this centralisation? What are likely to be the costs and benefits for consumers?
3. How would the new 'Railways Agency' help to reduce the costs of running the railways? 

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News Item 8: Government attacked on quality of life


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapters 12, 13
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapter 7
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapter 25
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 26
 
"Shows promise, but must try harder" is the title of a report from the government's own Commission on Sustainable Development on the progress that has been made towards sustainable development. Conventional measures of national income, living standards and economic growth tend to just focus on the raw figures but not on the 'nature' of those figures. Sustainable development is all about trying to develop an approach that takes account of the impact that this growth has on the environment and natural resources. This will have implications for the way we conventionally measure living standards.
Blair attacked on quality of life BBC News Online (13/4/04)
Government must do more to improve quality of life Sustainable Development Commission Press Release (4/4/04)
Shows promise, but must try harder Report from Sustainable Development Commission on government progress
Questions
1. What is meant by sustainable development?
2. Have a look at Chapter 2 of the report from the Sustainable Development Commission and assess the government's performance in reducing market failure.
3. Why might simple national income figures be inadequate to measure the quality of life?

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News Item 9: Global growth on the up?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapters 13, 17, 22
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapters 7, 8
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapters 25, 29
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 26, 30
 
In its twice-yearly World Economic Outlook, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has argued that global growth is gathering pace and it is forecasting global growth of 4.6% in 2004, up from a previous forecast of 4.1%. However, it does also identify possible risks to the level of global growth such as the large US budget deficit and sluggish growth in the eurozone.
World growth 'is gathering pace' BBC News Online (21/4/04)
IMF says global economic growth set to continue ABC Online (22/4/04)
World economic outlook rosy: IMF The Age (22/4/04)
Questions
1. What are the key determinants of the level of global economic growth?
2. What impact is further growth in the US budget deficit likely to have on the level of global economic growth and why?
3. What other external shocks could result in global economic growth being lower than the IMF has forecast?

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News Item 10: China fears boom and bust cycle


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapter 18
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapters 7, 9
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapters 25, 29
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 26, 30
 
The Chinese government is beginning to get worried about overheating in the Chinese economy. Cities are developing rapidly, debt is rising fast as people and firms borrow to spend and invest and raw material prices are rising fast. This overheating adds inflationary pressures and so could lead to a boom/bust cycle where excessive growth means that the government has to implement deflationary policies to reduce inflation. As a result the Chinese have put in place controls over bank lending (monetary policy) hoping that these will prevent debt levels from rising too fast. The articles below look at these new measures and also consider the reasons why growth has been so rapid in China.
China fears boom and bust cycle BBC News Online (12/4/04)
China restates aim to ward off inflation New Zealand Herald (13/4/04)
China raises bank reserves ratio The Star Online (13/4/04)
Bejing acts again to rein in inflation International Herald Tribune (12/4/04)
China warns of excessive growth Taipei Times (13/4/04)
China's boom fuels fear of slump BBC News Online (15/4/04)
Questions
1. Where are the inflationary pressures coming from in China?
2. How will an increase in the reserve ratio help reduce inflation?
3. What other policy options are available to the Chinese government to help reduce inflationary pressures?

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News Item 11: Sugar tariffs - not so sweet for developing countries


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapter 23
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapters 11, 12
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapter 22
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 24
 
An Oxfam report has strongly criticised the sugar tariffs that the EU imposes on sugar coming in from outside the union. They argue that this causes significant problems for sugar producers in developing countries and hinders development in these countries, many of whom are very dependent on these exports. The sugar industry has countered these criticisms by suggesting that a fully liberalised sugar industry may not help developing countries.
Oxfam slams European sugar tariff BBC News Online (14/4/04)
The great EU sugar scam Oxfam press release
Oxfam report Oxfam
Questions
1. Why do the European sugar tariffs have a damaging effect on developing economies?
2. What would be the impact of removing sugar tariffs in European countries on (a) European farmers and (b) European economies?
3. In the BBC article Tate and Lyle suggest that a full liberalised sugar market in Europe would probably not benefit farmers in the poorest countries. Why might this be the case?

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News Item 12: Pacific island - paradise postponed?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapters 23, 26
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapter 12
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapter 22
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapter 24
 
The pacific island of Nauru has extensive reserves of phosphates and these generated enormous wealth for the island in the 1970s and 1980s. Once the phosphates ran out the island started to face problems and tried to diversify economically to maintain its position. However, it is now on the brink of bankruptcy and faces heavy debts that it is unable to meet.
Nauru in the grip of financial crisis BBC News Online (15/4/04)
Australia team to aid broke Nauru BBC News Online (19/4/04)
Questions
1. What economic problems may be faced by economies that are heavily dependent on the sale of commodities (primary resources)?
2. What are the main factors that have led to the current economic crisis on Nauru?
3. Evaluate the policy options that the government of Nauru is currently adopting to try to find a way out of the current crisis ?

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News Item 13: Eurozone stability pact - more countries to break it?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapters 25
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapters 7, 8, 11
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapters 24, 25, 29
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 25, 26, 30
 
In previous months we have looked at the eurozone stability pact. Under the pact (which applies to all EU countries and not just those in the euro) budget deficits should not exceed 3% of GDP, but sluggish growth in the eurozone means that many European countries are now breaking the pact. The worst breach is from the Italians whose budget deficit is expected to reach 4% of GDP and whose debt is the highest in Europe at 106% of GDP. Even the UK may breach the rules though the European commission recognise that this is likely to be a short-term temporary breach.
EC says most of eurozone is flouting deficit rules The Guardian (8/4/04)
Brussels warns on debt troubles BBC News Online (7/4/04)
Brussels denies gunning for Berlusconi with deficit warning EU Business (7/4/04)
Gloomy outlook for Eurozone nations The Scotsman (7/4/04)
Four 'to bust eurozone deficit rules' BBC News Online (19/4/04)
France, Germany, Italy and Portugal will break EU deficit rule in 2005: OECD EU Business (18/4/04)
Big EU countries to break deficit rule Business Day (18/4/04)
Questions
1. Why is a eurozone stability pact necessary to maintain the stability of the single currency?
2. What policies can the four countries set to break the rules implement to reduce their budget deficits? What impact are these policies likely to have on the other main economic indicators?
3. What are the main factors contributing to the sluggish levels of economic growth in the eurozone?

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News Item 14: A remedy for financial turbulence?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapters 25, 26
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapter 12
    Economics for Business (2nd edition) Chapters 24, 26, 31
    Economics for Business (3rd edition) Chapters 25, 27, 32
 
Financial crises (like the Asian financial crisis and the Argentine economic crisis) are incredibly costly in both economic and human terms. It is estimated that the Argentine crisis wiped out over 20% of GDP and economies take many years to recover from this. But what can be done to try to reduce the likelihood of crisis hitting an economy? The article below from The Economist looks at possible ways to reduce the impact of financial turbulence.
A remedy for financial turbulence The Economist (15/4/04)
Questions
1. What are the main causes of financial turbulence identified in the article?
2. Assess the likely success of the plan proposed by Mr. Eichengreen to create a new market for lending and borrowing targeted at the emerging market economies.
3. What problems are likely to be caused if countries choose to adopt capital controls to try to reduce their exposure to international financial markets?

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News Item 15: Brown pushes to double global aid


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapter 26
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapter 12
 
The Chancellor Gordon Brown is arguing for a doubling of global aid to developing countries to help achieve the internationally-agreed Millennium Development Goals of halving poverty, cutting infant mortality by two thirds and ensuring universal primary schooling by 2015. He has argued, in a speech to a summit celebrating the 100th anniversary of the Entente Cordiale, that at current levels of aid the Millennium Goal on cutting infant mortality will not be achieved in sub-Saharan Africa until 2165 and that the developed world has a responsibility to boost aid to meet these goals.

France backs Brown's aid project BBC News Online (8/4/04)
Finance ministers poised to back Brown aid plan The Scotsman (8/4/04)
Brown pressed on poverty fight AllAfrica.com (7/4/04)
The best use of aid The Economist (26/4/04)
UN Millennium Goals

Questions
1. Have a look at the UN Millennium Goals site linked above and note down the Millennium Goals.
2. What other policies are available to governments in the developed world and non-governmental organisations to help achieve these goals?
3. What constraints are governments in the developed world likely to face when trying to achieve these goals?

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News Item 16: One third of Brazilians live on less than $1 per day


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition) Chapter 26
    Essentials of Economics (2nd and 3rd editions) Chapter 12
 
Many people will be aware of the poverty that exists in Brazil and the slums of Rio De Janeiro, known as 'Favelas', have achieved a degree of international notoriety. A new report from the local Getulio Vargas Foundation has identified the extent of this poverty and reveals that a third of Brazilians live on under $1 per day. Brazil is also a country of deep inequality with the wealthier areas of Rio revealing that many are also living extremely well on high average incomes.
A third of Brazilians live on $1 BBC News Online (16/4/04)
Country profile: Brazil BBC Online
Questions
1. What is the difference between relative and absolute poverty? Which of these is more relevant to the analysis given of Brazil in the BBC News Online article?
2. What policies are available to the Brazilian government to try to reduce this poverty?
3. Assess the extent to which the international community could help to reduce this poverty.

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