Economics News Articles: April 2005

 
Welcome to the April set of news articles. Political news this month has been dominated by the election and the associated debate about economic policy. The aspect of the debate of most interest to us as economists may be the part related to taxation and tax policy. This month, however, we avoid the main election debates and look more widely at a possible change to taxation systems being considered by many countries: the adoption of a flat-rate tax as in Eastern Europe (News Item 6). The collapse of MG Rover also dominated the news for many days this month and in news Item 5 we look at the possibility of MG Rover workers moving to Australia to work. Market failure has also been an ever-present topic and in News Items 8 and 9 we look at waste in China and the possibility of the congestion charge becoming a variable rate charge. The following items also include plenty of other news stories that relate to your studies. As always, I hope you find them useful and enjoy reading them and answering the questions.
Andy Beharrell

Contents
1. The digital power of the consumer
2. Anglo-French differences - surely not?
3. Are we heading for a global oil price crisis?
4. Booming demand for Indian steel
5. MG Rover workers heading down under?
6. Is flattening tax the answer?
7. The regulators' best friend - cost benefit analysis
8. Variable congestion in London?
9. Waste in China - the side effect of rapid growth?
10. Are we saving enough?
11. Greenspan warns about the twin US deficits
12. Taxing exchange - Tobin-lite?
13. Global is good
14. The risks facing developing countries
15. FDI, but not as we know it

News Item 1: The digital power of the consumer


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapters 1, 6
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 1
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapter 4
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapters 2, 4
   
A key aspect of any market system is 'consumer sovereignty' - the power of consumers, as a group, to influence what is made. However, has the growth of online buying and selling made up more powerful as consumers? The article below from The Economist argues that the growth of the Internet has meant that we are better informed about the purchases we make and therefore better able to exercise our 'sovereignty'.
Crowned at last The Economist (31/3/05)
Questions
1. Describe how consumer sovereignty leads to changes in the allocation of resources.
2. Assess the extent to which the growth of the Internet has led to changes in consumer power.
3. What impact is this change in consumer power likely to have on related markets?

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News Item 2: Anglo-French differences - surely not?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 1
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 1
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapters 1, 3
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapter 2
   
The collapse of MG Rover has highlighted policy differences between Britain and France when it comes to intervening in the economy. In France it is unlikely that a major manufacturer would have been allowed to go into receivership in the way that MG Rover has. Though the French system would not argue for 'nationalisation' in the traditional sense, there is still extensive intervention by the French government in industrial policy and a much closer level of control over firms than in the UK.
Rover highlights Anglo-French divide BBC News Online (16/4/05)
Questions
1. Assess the advantages and disadvantages of greater intervention (like that adopted in France) in the economy by the government. 
2. What are the arguments for and against maintaining a national producer of, for example cars, when the firm may not be viable in the global market?
3. Why have government generally shifted away from 'nationalisation' towards 'privatisation' of industries and government services?

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News Item 3: Are we heading for a global oil price crisis?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 2
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapters 1, 2
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapter 4
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapter 2
 
Matthew Simmons, an energy adviser to President Bush and Chairman of an energy investment company, has argued for an independent assessment of global oil reserves. He suggests that we may be very close to "peak oil" - the point where global oil production rises to its highest point before an irreversible decline, and that demand is still rising which will further worsen the situation. The data available for global oil reserves is very sparse and unreliable and there is considerable dispute among experts about when "peak oil" will happen. The article below looks at these arguments and suggests that we may be heading for a global oil price crisis in the next three years.
Analyst fears global oil crisis in three years Guardian (26/4/05)
Questions
1. Using supply and demand diagrams as appropriate, show the changes in the oil market that the article suggests.
2. As oil runs out, how would you expect the value of the price elasticity of demand for oil to change? Why?
3. What impact is a global oil price crisis in the next three years likely to have on (a) the UK economy and (b) the world economy?

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News Item 4: Booming demand for Indian steel


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 2
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 1
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapter 4
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapters 2, 3
 
With the Indian government expected to spend $15bn on various infrastructure projects over the next few years, the demand for iron and steel seems set to rise rapidly and as a result India's steel industry is expected to grow fast. Growth is also expected to arise from the growth in demand for consumer goods that use steel like cars and domestic white goods.
India fires up steel production BBC News Online (22/4/05)
Questions
1. What is meant by the term 'derived demand'? Why is the demand for steel a derived demand?
2. Using supply and demand diagrams as appropriate, illustrate the anticipated changes in the Indian steel market in the next few years. N.B. You should also take account of the investment taking place in the steel industry mentioned in the article.
3. What problems is the steel industry likely to face as it tries to expand to cope with the rapid growth in demand for steel?
4. Given global over-capacity in the steel market, what would you expect the value of the price elasticity of demand to be for steel in India?

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News Item 5: MG Rover workers heading down under?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 9
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 5
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapter 18
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapter 7
  
The collapse of MG Rover has led to thousands of skilled workers in the West Midlands being out of work. Given the sudden nature of the collapse, many of them will find it difficult to find new jobs quickly. A specialist employment agency has suggested that many could move to Australia and find jobs there as there are skill shortages in many of these areas in Australia. 
Australian hope for Rover workers BBC News Online (11/4/05)
Questions
1. What are the main factors affecting the mobility of MG Rover workers who have lost their jobs?
2. What impact are skills shortages likely to have on the Australian economy?
3. How does greater labour mobility benefit an economy?
4. What can governments do to encourage greater labour mobility?

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News Item 6: Is flattening tax the answer?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 10
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 5
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapter 18
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapters 7, 10
 
Many Eastern European economies have adopted a flat-rate tax as part of their economic development plans and the idea seems to be catching on with over a dozen countries now operating some sort of flat-rate system. Many right-wing parties and libertarian groups in the UK have also been arguing for a change to a flat-rate tax. However, what are the advantages and disadvantages of such a system? Who would win and who would lose? The two articles below consider these arguments.
The ups and downs of flat taxes BBC News Online (15/4/05)
The case for flat taxes The Economist (14/4/05)
Questions
1. Explain how a pure flat-rate tax would work in practice. 
2. Why do many groups believe that a flat-rate tax will help boost economic growth? What impact is a flat-rate tax likely to have on the level of tax revenue?
3. Evaluate the arguments for an against the adoption of a flat-rate tax in the UK.

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News Item 7: The regulators' best friend - cost-benefit analysis


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 11
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapters 19, 20, 22
 
The European Union has long been accused by the media and many commentators of unnecessary level of regulation. However, Günter Verheugen, a vice-president of the commission, now wants to use cost-benefit analysis to reform the regulatory structure. So how can cost-benefit analysis, more commonly used for public sector investment projects, help in assessing the value of a regulation?
The regulators' best friend? The Economist (31/3/05)
Questions
1. Explain what is meant by cost-benefit analysis.
2. How will cost-benefit analysis help in reforming the regulatory structure of the European Union?
3. What problems may be faced when preparing a cost-benefit analysis on a particular regulation, or set of regulations? 

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News Item 8: Variable congestion in London?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapter 22
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapter 8
 
The success of the congestion charge in reducing traffic levels in London has prompted the Mayor's office to start looking at the possibility of a variable congestion charge. Many commentators argued for this when the charge was first proposed as they felt a variable charge would be more effective at spreading traffic flows during the day. The articles below consider these proposals.
Plan to vary congestion charge levies Guardian (20/4/05)
Driving across London and back may soon cost you £15 Times Online (20/4/05)
Questions
1. What are the economic arguments for a variable congestion charge?
2. What problems might be caused by the implementation of a variable congestion charge?
3. What other policy options could the Mayor's office consider to reduce congestion in London? What are the advantages and disadvantages of each of these?

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News Item 9: Waste in China - the side effect of rapid growth?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 12
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 6
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapter 22
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapter 8
 
One side effect of rapid economic growth in China has been that pollution levels have risen as firms have struggled to keep up with rapidly rising demand. Many factories around Bejing are being shutdown in an attempt to clean up in anticipation of the 2008 Olympic games. So what can be done about this? The article linked below considers the scale of the problem and the strategies being adopted by the Chinese government.
China's wasteful ways Business Week (11/4/05)
Questions
1. What negative externalities are evident from the article?
2. What policy options are available to the Chinese government to try to reduce the level of pollution as the economy grows rapidly?
3. What problems are likely to be faced by the Chinese economy if they fail to update their infrastructure and reduce pollution levels?

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News Item 10: Are we saving enough?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapters 17, 22
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapters 7, 10
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapters 19, 26
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapter 9
 
A recent report from the Ernst & Young Item club was very positive about Britain's economic prospects, but argued that the Chancellor had reduced the incentive for people to save and that this represented a threat to the economy. Economists have always argued that savings are vital for a prosperous economy in the long-term, but what can we do if the level of savings is not high enough? What incentives are available to encourage saving in a 'consumer culture'? With household savings rates falling in most OECD countries, this is not an issue confined just to the UK.
UK economy 'needs people to save' BBC News Online (25/4/05)
Never mind the slowdown, prosperous Scots still spending but not saving Scotsman (24/4/05)
The shift away from thrift The Economist (7/4/05)
Questions
1. Using an online data source such as the OECD Factbook, find out the savings rates for the major OECD countries.N.B In the OECD Factbook, you will find savings under 'Macroeconomic trends'.
2. How will a reduction in the savings rate affect the UK economy in (a) the short term and (b) the long-term?
3. What can the government do to try to raise the rate of savings in the economy?

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News Item 11: Greenspan warns about the twin US deficits


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapters 20, 21, 22
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapters 8, 10, 11
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapters 26, 27, 29, 30
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapter 9, 10
 
Alan Greenspan, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has warned the US government that it needs to act to reduce the balance of payments and budget deficits to avoid economic problems. He argues that tax rises will be necessary in the medium-term if the deficits are to be kept under control. Problems may worsen in the medium term as the 'baby-boomer' generation start to retire.
Tax cuts fueling deficits Boston.com (14/4/04)
Greenspan says he expects tax increases Washington Post (22/4/05)
Greenspan issues budget warning Australian Financial Review (22/4/05)
Greenspan warns of huge US deficit News.com (22/4/05)
Fed warns: budget deficits must be cut Times Online (22/4/05)
Greenspan: budget deficits pose danger Business Week (22/4/05)
Questions
1. What are the main causes of the twin US deficits?
2. What is likely to be the impact of a further rise in the budget deficit in (a) the short term and (b) the long term?
3. What policies are available to the government to try to reduce the balance of payments deficit and what constraints are they likely to face in implementing these policies?

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News Item 12: Taxing exchange - Tobin-lite?


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapters 24, 26
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 12
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapters 24, 27, 30, 32
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapters 11, 12
 
A number of economists have argued over the years for a 'Tobin tax' on foreign exchange transactions. Their main reason has been that it would help to stabilise exchange rates, but a new campaign called 'Stamp out poverty' has renewed the call for a foreign exchange tax. Their reasons are, however, different. They want to use the tax revenue to help raise money for poverty relief.
Tobin-lite could raise £3bn for third world Guardian (7/4/05)
Questions
1. Assess the arguments for and against a 'Tobin tax' on foreign exchange.
2. Evaluate whether a 'Tobin-lite' foreign exchange tax would be more effective at reducing poverty than debt relief for developing nations.
3. What problems might be faced if the 'Tobin-lite' tax was adopted unilaterally by the UK government as suggested by the campaign?

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News Item 13: Global is good


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 25
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapters 11, 12
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapter 23
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapter 12
 
Globalisation attracts a diverse range of opinions from anti-globalisation protesters to enthusiasts of globalisation like Thomas Friedman. In his new book 'The World is Flat' Friedman argues that globalisation will bring peace to the world as countries become more intertwined through trade and economic ties. The article considers the extent of globalisation by following the construction of the Dell laptop that he is writing the article on. If you thought all Dell computers were made in Ireland, you may be surprised!
Global is good The Guardian (21/4/05)
Questions
1. Write a critique of the pro-globalisation arguments expressed in the article.
2. What are the main constraints preventing further globalisation taking place?
3. Who are the main (a) winners and (b) losers from globalisation?

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News Item 14: The risks facing developing countries


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 26
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 12
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapter 23
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapter 12
 
The latest Global Development Finance report has shown that developing nations are leading global growth, but there are risks for the future. Rising interest rates and a weaker dollar may dampen levels of world growth. Some developing nations are also suffering from the high US current account deficit. As a result of the US deficit they are finding that they have higher than expected current account surpluses and foreign currency reserves.
Developing economies 'face risks' BBC News Online (6/4/05)
Poorest nations lead global growth Guardian (7/4/05)
Global development finance report World Bank site

Questions
1. What have been the main driving forces behind the higher level of economic growth achieved by the developing countries in 2004?
2. Examine the risks that developing countries face in trying to maintain these levels of growth through 2005.
3. What can the developed world do to help the developing world maintain this improved economic performance?

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News Item 15: FDI, but not as we know it


Relevant to:
    Economics (5th edition), Chapter 26
    Essentials of Economics (3rd edition), Chapter 12
    Economics for Business (3rd edition), Chapter 23
    The Economic Environment of Business (1st edition), Chapter 12
 
When we talk about foreign direct investment (FDI), we usually assume that this means flows of investment from the developed world, perhaps from large multinational firms, to the developing world. However, the article linked below from The Economist, shows that increasing levels of FDI are flowing between developing countries.

Globalisation with a third-world face The Economist (8/4/04)

Questions
1. Distinguish between 'horizontal' and 'vertical' FDI, as referred to in the article.
2. Assess the advantages and disadvantages for the host country of inflows of FDI.
3. Identify the main reasons for the growth in FDI flows between developing countries?

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